Ensemble forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather place Beijing’s August 3 maximum near 31–34 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C reflecting both climatological norms for early August and modest spread at this lead time. Recent late-July heat across northern China, combined with high humidity and the risk of afternoon thunderstorms, keeps the upper end of the distribution in play while steering patterns and any organized rainfall could cap readings closer to 32 °C. Historical precedent shows early-August highs averaging 31–32 °C, and traders are weighting the latest model consensus against the typical 2–3 °C day-to-day variability driven by local convection and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs from global ensembles and regional guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range further.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on August 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 3?
34°C 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
31°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
34%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
33°C 26%
32°C 21%
31°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
$411 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C
$12 Vol.
21%
33°C
$0 Vol.
26%
34°C
$0 Vol.
34%
35°C
$205 Vol.
9%
36°C
$128 Vol.
2%
37°C
$218 Vol.
2%
38°C
$10 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather place Beijing’s August 3 maximum near 31–34 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C reflecting both climatological norms for early August and modest spread at this lead time. Recent late-July heat across northern China, combined with high humidity and the risk of afternoon thunderstorms, keeps the upper end of the distribution in play while steering patterns and any organized rainfall could cap readings closer to 32 °C. Historical precedent shows early-August highs averaging 31–32 °C, and traders are weighting the latest model consensus against the typical 2–3 °C day-to-day variability driven by local convection and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs from global ensembles and regional guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$994শেষ তারিখ
Aug 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather place Beijing’s August 3 maximum near 31–34 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C reflecting both climatological norms for early August and modest spread at this lead time. Recent late-July heat across northern China, combined with high humidity and the risk of afternoon thunderstorms, keeps the upper end of the distribution in play while steering patterns and any organized rainfall could cap readings closer to 32 °C. Historical precedent shows early-August highs averaging 31–32 °C, and traders are weighting the latest model consensus against the typical 2–3 °C day-to-day variability driven by local convection and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs from global ensembles and regional guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$994শেষ তারিখ
Aug 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather place Beijing’s August 3 maximum near 31–34 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34 °C reflecting both climatological norms for early August and modest spread at this lead time. Recent late-July heat across northern China, combined with high humidity and the risk of afternoon thunderstorms, keeps the upper end of the distribution in play while steering patterns and any organized rainfall could cap readings closer to 32 °C. Historical precedent shows early-August highs averaging 31–32 °C, and traders are weighting the latest model consensus against the typical 2–3 °C day-to-day variability driven by local convection and boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs from global ensembles and regional guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range further.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা