Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover across Hong Kong are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble models converging on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for August 3. This aligns with typical August climatology of 26–27°C lows and supports the market’s strong 94% implied probability for 25°C. Light showers further suppress temperature drops by maintaining high humidity and reducing clear-sky heat loss. Brief unexpected clearing could allow modest additional cooling toward 24°C, while heavier rain or stronger winds would likely keep readings at or above 25°C; final observatory data will resolve the market once published.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
25°C 96%
24°C 4%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
$21,715 Vol.
$21,715 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
96%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 96%
24°C 4%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
$21,715 Vol.
$21,715 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
96%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover across Hong Kong are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, with Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble models converging on a minimum temperature of 25–26°C for August 3. This aligns with typical August climatology of 26–27°C lows and supports the market’s strong 94% implied probability for 25°C. Light showers further suppress temperature drops by maintaining high humidity and reducing clear-sky heat loss. Brief unexpected clearing could allow modest additional cooling toward 24°C, while heavier rain or stronger winds would likely keep readings at or above 25°C; final observatory data will resolve the market once published.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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