Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate persistent summer conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling ahead of August 5, favoring overnight lows near 26°C as the mode. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 26–27°C, with recent observations (such as 25°C on August 1) anchoring trader sentiment around seasonal norms rather than cooler anomalies. The seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures further supports limited downward deviation, while model consensus points to cloudy skies reducing the chance of stronger cooling. Minor forecast spread introduces uncertainty for 24–25°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the Observatory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
26°C 40%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
27°C 15%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
40%
27°C
15%
28°C
11%
29°C
15%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
27°C 15%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
40%
27°C
15%
28°C
11%
29°C
15%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate persistent summer conditions with high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling ahead of August 5, favoring overnight lows near 26°C as the mode. Historical August climatology shows average minimums of 26–27°C, with recent observations (such as 25°C on August 1) anchoring trader sentiment around seasonal norms rather than cooler anomalies. The seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures further supports limited downward deviation, while model consensus points to cloudy skies reducing the chance of stronger cooling. Minor forecast spread introduces uncertainty for 24–25°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at the Observatory.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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