**Northwest winds and a post-frontal air mass are positioning Chicago for a high temperature near 74°F on August 23, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of sunny skies and highs around 74°F under 10–15 mph north-northwest flow.** This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (48.5% implied probability) by limiting daytime heating relative to August climatology of ~82°F. Lake Michigan moderation and residual cloud debris from earlier showers further cap warming, keeping 76–77°F (35%) as a plausible secondary outcome if insolation exceeds model assumptions. Recent model consensus from NWS and private forecasters shows little spread, with no warm advection or subsidence expected before the daily maximum. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the mid-70s range, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low likelihood of outliers above 78°F or below 72°F.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
74-75°F 43%
76-77°F 42%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 43%
76-77°F 42%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$213 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$175 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$213 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$168 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$408 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$660 Vol.
43%
76-77°F
$404 Vol.
42%
78-79°F
$467 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$225 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$115 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwest winds and a post-frontal air mass are positioning Chicago for a high temperature near 74°F on August 23, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of sunny skies and highs around 74°F under 10–15 mph north-northwest flow.** This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (48.5% implied probability) by limiting daytime heating relative to August climatology of ~82°F. Lake Michigan moderation and residual cloud debris from earlier showers further cap warming, keeping 76–77°F (35%) as a plausible secondary outcome if insolation exceeds model assumptions. Recent model consensus from NWS and private forecasters shows little spread, with no warm advection or subsidence expected before the daily maximum. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the mid-70s range, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low likelihood of outliers above 78°F or below 72°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,167শেষ তারিখ
Aug 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northwest winds and a post-frontal air mass are positioning Chicago for a high temperature near 74°F on August 23, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of sunny skies and highs around 74°F under 10–15 mph north-northwest flow.** This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (48.5% implied probability) by limiting daytime heating relative to August climatology of ~82°F. Lake Michigan moderation and residual cloud debris from earlier showers further cap warming, keeping 76–77°F (35%) as a plausible secondary outcome if insolation exceeds model assumptions. Recent model consensus from NWS and private forecasters shows little spread, with no warm advection or subsidence expected before the daily maximum. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the mid-70s range, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low likelihood of outliers above 78°F or below 72°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$3,167শেষ তারিখ
Aug 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northwest winds and a post-frontal air mass are positioning Chicago for a high temperature near 74°F on August 23, 2026, aligning with National Weather Service guidance of sunny skies and highs around 74°F under 10–15 mph north-northwest flow.** This setup favors the market’s leading 74–75°F bin (48.5% implied probability) by limiting daytime heating relative to August climatology of ~82°F. Lake Michigan moderation and residual cloud debris from earlier showers further cap warming, keeping 76–77°F (35%) as a plausible secondary outcome if insolation exceeds model assumptions. Recent model consensus from NWS and private forecasters shows little spread, with no warm advection or subsidence expected before the daily maximum. Traders are therefore concentrating probability in the mid-70s range, reflecting the tight forecast envelope and low likelihood of outliers above 78°F or below 72°F.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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