Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 31°C for Busan on August 22, with overcast skies, isolated thunderstorms, and moderate humidity typical of late summer along the southeastern coast. These conditions, combined with sea-breeze moderation and potential cloud cover from regional moisture, favor the 32–33°C outcomes that dominate trader consensus. Differentiation among 31–34°C hinges on exact timing of any precipitation, model consensus on afternoon convection, and subtle shifts in steering winds that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether persistent overcast or partial sun pushes the daily maximum toward the upper end of this narrow range.