Recent model consensus from Spain’s AEMET and the ECMWF points to a Madrid high of 33–34 °C on 22 August under mostly clear skies and light winds, following a mid-month cooldown from peaks above 35 °C. With the market splitting nearly evenly between those two outcomes, traders are weighing small differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, surface heating rates, and any late-day cloud development that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Historical August averages near 31–33 °C provide context, yet the current stable anticyclonic pattern supports the upper end of that range. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst likely to shift the narrow 33–34 °C spread.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
33°C 45%
34°C 43%
32°C 9%
35°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
9%
33°C
45%
34°C
43%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
34°C 43%
32°C 9%
35°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
9%
33°C
45%
34°C
43%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Spain’s AEMET and the ECMWF points to a Madrid high of 33–34 °C on 22 August under mostly clear skies and light winds, following a mid-month cooldown from peaks above 35 °C. With the market splitting nearly evenly between those two outcomes, traders are weighing small differences in daytime boundary-layer mixing, surface heating rates, and any late-day cloud development that could trim the peak by 1 °C. Historical August averages near 31–33 °C provide context, yet the current stable anticyclonic pattern supports the upper end of that range. Updated short-range runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalyst likely to shift the narrow 33–34 °C spread.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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