**Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs show strong consensus for a London daytime maximum of 21–22°C on August 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low shower risk.** This places the outcome squarely within the late-August climatological average of 21–23°C following an early-month heatwave that produced peaks above 35°C. Model agreement on moderate solar heating, stable high pressure nearby, and absence of strong warm advection or frontal systems explains why 21°C leads at 46.5% implied probability and 22°C follows at 35.5%. Minor variations in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C either way, which is why 20°C holds 11.5% while outcomes above 23°C remain under 6% combined. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will be the next key input for traders.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in London on August 21?
21°C 46%
22°C 36%
20°C 12%
23°C 6%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
46%
22°C
36%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 46%
22°C 36%
20°C 12%
23°C 6%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
46%
22°C
36%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble runs show strong consensus for a London daytime maximum of 21–22°C on August 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low shower risk.** This places the outcome squarely within the late-August climatological average of 21–23°C following an early-month heatwave that produced peaks above 35°C. Model agreement on moderate solar heating, stable high pressure nearby, and absence of strong warm advection or frontal systems explains why 21°C leads at 46.5% implied probability and 22°C follows at 35.5%. Minor variations in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C either way, which is why 20°C holds 11.5% while outcomes above 23°C remain under 6% combined. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will be the next key input for traders.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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