Trader sentiment centers on short-range numerical weather prediction guidance projecting a high in the mid-to-upper 80s for Central Park on August 19, driven by a building ridge and southerly flow that favors mostly sunny skies and efficient daytime heating. Ensemble consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs supports this range, with minor spreads arising from variable low-level moisture, timing of any weak sea breeze, and boundary-layer mixing depth that can shift peak readings by 2–3 °F. Above-normal August temperatures overall add slight upside risk, yet climatological averages near 83 °F and limited instability keep probabilities for 90 °F or higher modest. Fresh model updates and NWS forecast discussions remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on August 19?
86-87°F 46%
88-89°F 38%
84-85°F 9%
90-91°F 9%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
46%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 46%
88-89°F 38%
84-85°F 9%
90-91°F 9%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
46%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on short-range numerical weather prediction guidance projecting a high in the mid-to-upper 80s for Central Park on August 19, driven by a building ridge and southerly flow that favors mostly sunny skies and efficient daytime heating. Ensemble consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs supports this range, with minor spreads arising from variable low-level moisture, timing of any weak sea breeze, and boundary-layer mixing depth that can shift peak readings by 2–3 °F. Above-normal August temperatures overall add slight upside risk, yet climatological averages near 83 °F and limited instability keep probabilities for 90 °F or higher modest. Fresh model updates and NWS forecast discussions remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা