Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to Moscow highs near 19–22°C on August 20, with partly cloudy conditions and light winds limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering, with 20°C and 21°C each implied at 33.5% probability amid genuine model uncertainty. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C, while historical August averages of 20–22°C provide context. Any late adjustments in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs or evolving steering patterns ahead of the 48-hour window could refine these thresholds and tip trader sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 20?
20°C 34%
21°C 34%
22°C 16%
19°C 13%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
13%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
23%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
20°C 34%
21°C 34%
22°C 16%
19°C 13%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
13%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
23%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to Moscow highs near 19–22°C on August 20, with partly cloudy conditions and light winds limiting strong diurnal heating. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering, with 20°C and 21°C each implied at 33.5% probability amid genuine model uncertainty. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C, while historical August averages of 20–22°C provide context. Any late adjustments in European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs or evolving steering patterns ahead of the 48-hour window could refine these thresholds and tip trader sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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