Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance indicate a mostly sunny pattern with southerly flow supporting daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s for New York City on August 18, aligning with the market's tight clustering around the 84–87°F bins. Seasonal norms near 83°F provide baseline context, while variables such as afternoon sea-breeze development, boundary-layer moisture, and potential thin high clouds introduce enough forecast spread to keep the two leading outcomes nearly even. Official observations from Central Park will resolve the market, with any deviation in peak insolation or wind shift capable of shifting the result by 1–2°F.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on August 18?
86-87°F 47%
84-85°F 38%
88-89°F 11%
82-83°F 6%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 47%
84-85°F 38%
88-89°F 11%
82-83°F 6%
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
2%
94°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance indicate a mostly sunny pattern with southerly flow supporting daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s for New York City on August 18, aligning with the market's tight clustering around the 84–87°F bins. Seasonal norms near 83°F provide baseline context, while variables such as afternoon sea-breeze development, boundary-layer moisture, and potential thin high clouds introduce enough forecast spread to keep the two leading outcomes nearly even. Official observations from Central Park will resolve the market, with any deviation in peak insolation or wind shift capable of shifting the result by 1–2°F.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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