Recent numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration positions a daily high of 33–34°C as the most probable outcome for Wuhan on August 17, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and limited diurnal cooling. Ensemble forecasts show slight cooling from recent days when highs reached 32–34°C, consistent with historical climatology where mid-month maxima average near 33°C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in afternoon convection and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the peak by 1°C either way. Market-implied probabilities align with this guidance, assigning over 75% combined likelihood to 33–34°C while discounting extremes above 35°C absent a stronger ridge or suppressed rainfall. Updated model runs and official bulletins through the evening of August 16 will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 17?
34°C 47%
33°C 32%
35°C 15%
32°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
32%
34°C
47%
35°C
15%
36°C
3%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 47%
33°C 32%
35°C 15%
32°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
32%
34°C
47%
35°C
15%
36°C
3%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration positions a daily high of 33–34°C as the most probable outcome for Wuhan on August 17, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and limited diurnal cooling. Ensemble forecasts show slight cooling from recent days when highs reached 32–34°C, consistent with historical climatology where mid-month maxima average near 33°C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in afternoon convection and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the peak by 1°C either way. Market-implied probabilities align with this guidance, assigning over 75% combined likelihood to 33–34°C while discounting extremes above 35°C absent a stronger ridge or suppressed rainfall. Updated model runs and official bulletins through the evening of August 16 will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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