Current ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models place Madrid's peak temperature on August 16 around 34–35 °C, reflecting a modest easing from the intense heat dome that drove recent readings above 38 °C. High-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation continue to favor elevated maxima, while any influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased boundary-layer moisture could cap readings near 34 °C. Model spread arises mainly from subtle differences in predicted 850 hPa temperatures and low-level wind direction, creating the tight 43 %–36.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest short-range runs that show stabilization near the seasonal August average of 32–33 °C with modest upside risk.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 16?
35°C 43%
34°C 36%
33°C 11%
36°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
36%
35°C
43%
36°C
8%
37°C or higher
5%
35°C 43%
34°C 36%
33°C 11%
36°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
36%
35°C
43%
36°C
8%
37°C or higher
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models place Madrid's peak temperature on August 16 around 34–35 °C, reflecting a modest easing from the intense heat dome that drove recent readings above 38 °C. High-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation continue to favor elevated maxima, while any influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased boundary-layer moisture could cap readings near 34 °C. Model spread arises mainly from subtle differences in predicted 850 hPa temperatures and low-level wind direction, creating the tight 43 %–36.5 % split between the two leading outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest short-range runs that show stabilization near the seasonal August average of 32–33 °C with modest upside risk.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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