Tokyo's mid-August climatology, with typical daily highs of 29–32°C driven by the strengthened Pacific High and urban heat island effects, anchors trader positioning around 29–30°C for August 16. Short-range model guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to a high near 29°C amid elevated humidity and potential instability from nearby tropical systems during the Obon period, which could bring cloud cover or showers that moderate peak temperatures without a significant cool-down. Japan's ongoing above-normal summer temperatures, following the record 2025 season and with 2026 already seeing frequent days above 35°C elsewhere, support limited downside risk below 28°C while keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher modest absent a clear intensification signal. Updated JMA forecasts and any typhoon track revisions in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
29°C 42%
30°C 32%
28°C 13%
31°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 16, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
42%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 32%
28°C 13%
31°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 16, 2026
24°C or below
$201 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$87 Vol.
1%
26°C
$23 Vol.
1%
27°C
$495 Vol.
4%
28°C
$85 Vol.
13%
29°C
$497 Vol.
42%
30°C
$90 Vol.
32%
31°C
$120 Vol.
13%
32°C
$31 Vol.
5%
33°C
$93 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-August climatology, with typical daily highs of 29–32°C driven by the strengthened Pacific High and urban heat island effects, anchors trader positioning around 29–30°C for August 16. Short-range model guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to a high near 29°C amid elevated humidity and potential instability from nearby tropical systems during the Obon period, which could bring cloud cover or showers that moderate peak temperatures without a significant cool-down. Japan's ongoing above-normal summer temperatures, following the record 2025 season and with 2026 already seeing frequent days above 35°C elsewhere, support limited downside risk below 28°C while keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher modest absent a clear intensification signal. Updated JMA forecasts and any typhoon track revisions in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,749শেষ তারিখ
Aug 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's mid-August climatology, with typical daily highs of 29–32°C driven by the strengthened Pacific High and urban heat island effects, anchors trader positioning around 29–30°C for August 16. Short-range model guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to a high near 29°C amid elevated humidity and potential instability from nearby tropical systems during the Obon period, which could bring cloud cover or showers that moderate peak temperatures without a significant cool-down. Japan's ongoing above-normal summer temperatures, following the record 2025 season and with 2026 already seeing frequent days above 35°C elsewhere, support limited downside risk below 28°C while keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher modest absent a clear intensification signal. Updated JMA forecasts and any typhoon track revisions in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,749শেষ তারিখ
Aug 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo's mid-August climatology, with typical daily highs of 29–32°C driven by the strengthened Pacific High and urban heat island effects, anchors trader positioning around 29–30°C for August 16. Short-range model guidance from sources like AccuWeather points to a high near 29°C amid elevated humidity and potential instability from nearby tropical systems during the Obon period, which could bring cloud cover or showers that moderate peak temperatures without a significant cool-down. Japan's ongoing above-normal summer temperatures, following the record 2025 season and with 2026 already seeing frequent days above 35°C elsewhere, support limited downside risk below 28°C while keeping probabilities for 32°C or higher modest absent a clear intensification signal. Updated JMA forecasts and any typhoon track revisions in the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা