Current short-range model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and NWS point forecasts positions the August 15 high temperature in New York City near 83°F under broken clouds and near-normal late-summer steering patterns, aligning with the market’s leading 84-85°F bin. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks for August 2026 from the Climate Prediction Center support elevated odds for the 82-87°F range overall, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or tropical moisture advection reduces chances for extremes above 88°F. Traders appear to weigh typical Central Park climatology (average high near 84°F) against modest forecast uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 15?
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 25%
86-87°F 15%
80-81°F 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
47%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 25%
86-87°F 15%
80-81°F 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
$205 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$35 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$71 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$180 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$105 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$434 Vol.
47%
86-87°F
$52 Vol.
15%
88-89°F
$109 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$20 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$35 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and NWS point forecasts positions the August 15 high temperature in New York City near 83°F under broken clouds and near-normal late-summer steering patterns, aligning with the market’s leading 84-85°F bin. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks for August 2026 from the Climate Prediction Center support elevated odds for the 82-87°F range overall, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or tropical moisture advection reduces chances for extremes above 88°F. Traders appear to weigh typical Central Park climatology (average high near 84°F) against modest forecast uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,410শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and NWS point forecasts positions the August 15 high temperature in New York City near 83°F under broken clouds and near-normal late-summer steering patterns, aligning with the market’s leading 84-85°F bin. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks for August 2026 from the Climate Prediction Center support elevated odds for the 82-87°F range overall, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or tropical moisture advection reduces chances for extremes above 88°F. Traders appear to weigh typical Central Park climatology (average high near 84°F) against modest forecast uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,410শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and NWS point forecasts positions the August 15 high temperature in New York City near 83°F under broken clouds and near-normal late-summer steering patterns, aligning with the market’s leading 84-85°F bin. Warmer-than-average monthly outlooks for August 2026 from the Climate Prediction Center support elevated odds for the 82-87°F range overall, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or tropical moisture advection reduces chances for extremes above 88°F. Traders appear to weigh typical Central Park climatology (average high near 84°F) against modest forecast uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing ahead of tomorrow’s verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা