Persistent high pressure and subsidence associated with a broad heat dome over the central and southern U.S. have maintained hot, mostly sunny conditions across southeast Texas, driving Houston temperatures into the mid- to upper-90s with limited afternoon convection. Official NWS guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 95–97°F on August 15, consistent with climatological normals of 95°F for mid-August at Houston Intercontinental Airport, though urban heat island effects and variable Gulf moisture could nudge readings slightly higher or lower depending on the timing of any sea breeze or scattered clouds. The narrow spread between the leading 94–95°F and 96–97°F market outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact ridge strength, with new model runs and updated NWS briefings expected to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.