National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 15 center on a high near 68°F, driven by persistent marine layer cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that limits daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 40.5% implied probability and nearby 66-71°F outcomes, reflecting typical mid-August climatology where sea breezes and coastal upwelling keep highs in the mid-to-upper 60s more often than the seasonal 70°F average. Recent model consensus shows no strong offshore flow or heat advection to push temperatures higher, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift results within the 66-71°F range. Updated NWS guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal on exact thresholds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 15?
68-69°F 41%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 17%
64-65°F 7%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 41%
70-71°F 23%
66-67°F 17%
64-65°F 7%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 15 center on a high near 68°F, driven by persistent marine layer cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific that limits daytime warming. This aligns with the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 40.5% implied probability and nearby 66-71°F outcomes, reflecting typical mid-August climatology where sea breezes and coastal upwelling keep highs in the mid-to-upper 60s more often than the seasonal 70°F average. Recent model consensus shows no strong offshore flow or heat advection to push temperatures higher, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind strength could shift results within the 66-71°F range. Updated NWS guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal on exact thresholds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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