Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to Shanghai highs near 30–31°C on August 16 as the most probable outcomes, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C daytime maxima under the East Asian summer monsoon regime. Persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and potential weak frontal or convective activity are expected to moderate peak temperatures, consistent with recent model runs showing limited warming potential. Trader consensus around these levels reflects historical verification data and the narrow window for significant deviations this close to the date, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to forecast convergence on typical late-summer conditions rather than anomalous heat or cooling.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
30°C 40%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
28°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
24%
30°C
40%
31°C
26%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
28°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
24%
30°C
40%
31°C
26%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to Shanghai highs near 30–31°C on August 16 as the most probable outcomes, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C daytime maxima under the East Asian summer monsoon regime. Persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and potential weak frontal or convective activity are expected to moderate peak temperatures, consistent with recent model runs showing limited warming potential. Trader consensus around these levels reflects historical verification data and the narrow window for significant deviations this close to the date, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to forecast convergence on typical late-summer conditions rather than anomalous heat or cooling.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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