**Southerly winds from an eastward-moving low-pressure system are driving cooler air into Wellington, positioning a maximum of 9–11°C as the most probable range for August 16.** Official MetService guidance shows an 8°C daytime high under strong southerlies and scattered showers, while NIWA outlooks align with 8–11°C amid the same flow. These conditions reflect a brief polar-air intrusion that has kept recent temperatures below the August average high of roughly 13°C. Trader consensus, with 10°C commanding a 64% implied probability, reflects model agreement on limited daytime warming despite some uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sheltering. The 21% chance on 9°C and 11% on 11°C capture residual spread in forecast guidance, while probabilities collapse sharply outside this narrow band because further intensification or rapid clearing remains unlikely before the market resolves. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 16th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 16?
10°C 64%
9°C 22%
11°C 11%
8°C 4%
নতুন
$17,310 Vol.
নতুন
$17,310 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
4%
9°C
22%
10°C
64%
11°C
11%
12°C
3%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 64%
9°C 22%
11°C 11%
8°C 4%
নতুন
$17,310 Vol.
নতুন
$17,310 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
4°C or below
$223 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$2,572 Vol.
1%
8°C
$1,976 Vol.
4%
9°C
$3,141 Vol.
22%
10°C
$3,441 Vol.
64%
11°C
$1,947 Vol.
11%
12°C
$1,239 Vol.
3%
13°C
$529 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Southerly winds from an eastward-moving low-pressure system are driving cooler air into Wellington, positioning a maximum of 9–11°C as the most probable range for August 16.** Official MetService guidance shows an 8°C daytime high under strong southerlies and scattered showers, while NIWA outlooks align with 8–11°C amid the same flow. These conditions reflect a brief polar-air intrusion that has kept recent temperatures below the August average high of roughly 13°C.
Trader consensus, with 10°C commanding a 64% implied probability, reflects model agreement on limited daytime warming despite some uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sheltering. The 21% chance on 9°C and 11% on 11°C capture residual spread in forecast guidance, while probabilities collapse sharply outside this narrow band because further intensification or rapid clearing remains unlikely before the market resolves. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 16th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$17,310শেষ তারিখ
Aug 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Southerly winds from an eastward-moving low-pressure system are driving cooler air into Wellington, positioning a maximum of 9–11°C as the most probable range for August 16.** Official MetService guidance shows an 8°C daytime high under strong southerlies and scattered showers, while NIWA outlooks align with 8–11°C amid the same flow. These conditions reflect a brief polar-air intrusion that has kept recent temperatures below the August average high of roughly 13°C.
Trader consensus, with 10°C commanding a 64% implied probability, reflects model agreement on limited daytime warming despite some uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sheltering. The 21% chance on 9°C and 11% on 11°C capture residual spread in forecast guidance, while probabilities collapse sharply outside this narrow band because further intensification or rapid clearing remains unlikely before the market resolves. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 16th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$17,310শেষ তারিখ
Aug 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Southerly winds from an eastward-moving low-pressure system are driving cooler air into Wellington, positioning a maximum of 9–11°C as the most probable range for August 16.** Official MetService guidance shows an 8°C daytime high under strong southerlies and scattered showers, while NIWA outlooks align with 8–11°C amid the same flow. These conditions reflect a brief polar-air intrusion that has kept recent temperatures below the August average high of roughly 13°C. Trader consensus, with 10°C commanding a 64% implied probability, reflects model agreement on limited daytime warming despite some uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sheltering. The 21% chance on 9°C and 11% on 11°C capture residual spread in forecast guidance, while probabilities collapse sharply outside this narrow band because further intensification or rapid clearing remains unlikely before the market resolves. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 16th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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