Recent MetService and international model guidance point to a maximum temperature in Wellington on August 15 most likely settling between 14–15 °C, producing the tightest market split between those two outcomes. A weak ridge of high pressure combined with light southerly flow is expected to limit daytime warming while maintaining typical winter cloud cover and modest wind speeds that cap the daily peak. NIWA’s seasonal outlook, noting near-average temperatures under emerging El Niño conditions, provides broader context but leaves room for small day-to-day shifts from frontal timing or local sea-breeze effects. Updated forecast runs over the next 48 hours will determine whether the reading edges toward the upper or lower side of this narrow range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 15?
14°C 45%
15°C 36%
16°C 13%
13°C 5%
$12,857 Vol.
$12,857 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
45%
15°C
36%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
15°C 36%
16°C 13%
13°C 5%
$12,857 Vol.
$12,857 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
45%
15°C
36%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and international model guidance point to a maximum temperature in Wellington on August 15 most likely settling between 14–15 °C, producing the tightest market split between those two outcomes. A weak ridge of high pressure combined with light southerly flow is expected to limit daytime warming while maintaining typical winter cloud cover and modest wind speeds that cap the daily peak. NIWA’s seasonal outlook, noting near-average temperatures under emerging El Niño conditions, provides broader context but leaves room for small day-to-day shifts from frontal timing or local sea-breeze effects. Updated forecast runs over the next 48 hours will determine whether the reading edges toward the upper or lower side of this narrow range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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