Chongqing’s August peak-heat conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat-island effects, underpin trader focus on a 35–36 °C maximum for August 15. Official short-range guidance and ensemble models currently cluster daily highs near 34–36 °C, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, possible scattered convection, and exact steering flow. Historical mid-August averages of 33–35 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture or brief clear spells can shift the observed peak by 1–2 °C. With 35 °C and 36 °C holding nearly equal market-implied odds, traders are pricing the narrow but genuine range between model consensus and local measurement thresholds. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and any late intensification of the western Pacific subtropical ridge remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 15?
36°C 50%
35°C 25%
37°C 21%
34°C 13%
32°C or below
4%
33°C
11%
34°C
13%
35°C
25%
36°C
38%
37°C
21%
38°C
12%
39°C
8%
40°C
2%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
1%
36°C 50%
35°C 25%
37°C 21%
34°C 13%
32°C or below
4%
33°C
11%
34°C
13%
35°C
25%
36°C
38%
37°C
21%
38°C
12%
39°C
8%
40°C
2%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing’s August peak-heat conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat-island effects, underpin trader focus on a 35–36 °C maximum for August 15. Official short-range guidance and ensemble models currently cluster daily highs near 34–36 °C, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, possible scattered convection, and exact steering flow. Historical mid-August averages of 33–35 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon moisture or brief clear spells can shift the observed peak by 1–2 °C. With 35 °C and 36 °C holding nearly equal market-implied odds, traders are pricing the narrow but genuine range between model consensus and local measurement thresholds. Updated National Meteorological Center runs and any late intensification of the western Pacific subtropical ridge remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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