Recent meteorological forecasts for Wuhan on August 15 center on a daily high near 31°C, aligning with the market's leading 35.5% implied probability for that outcome and supporting elevated shares for 30°C and 32°C. Wuhan's humid subtropical monsoon climate in the Yangtze River valley typically produces August highs of 30–35°C, driven by warm, moist southerly flow, though afternoon thundershowers and cloud cover—shown in multiple model runs—can cap peak temperatures by limiting insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Current guidance from sources such as the BBC and UK Met Office indicates light rain or showers with highs of 29–31°C, while longer-range seasonal averages near 33°C reflect broader climatology. Traders appear to weigh this forecast consensus against residual uncertainty from potential steering-pattern shifts or convective intensification, concentrating probability on the narrow 30–32°C band two days ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 15?
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
25%
31°C
35%
32°C
21%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
25%
31°C
35%
32°C
21%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Wuhan on August 15 center on a daily high near 31°C, aligning with the market's leading 35.5% implied probability for that outcome and supporting elevated shares for 30°C and 32°C. Wuhan's humid subtropical monsoon climate in the Yangtze River valley typically produces August highs of 30–35°C, driven by warm, moist southerly flow, though afternoon thundershowers and cloud cover—shown in multiple model runs—can cap peak temperatures by limiting insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Current guidance from sources such as the BBC and UK Met Office indicates light rain or showers with highs of 29–31°C, while longer-range seasonal averages near 33°C reflect broader climatology. Traders appear to weigh this forecast consensus against residual uncertainty from potential steering-pattern shifts or convective intensification, concentrating probability on the narrow 30–32°C band two days ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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