Tight clustering of implied probabilities around 26–27°C for London's August 15 maximum reflects ensemble model spread in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and possible afternoon cloud or light wind shifts under persistent high pressure. Official Met Office guidance points to a daytime peak near 28°C following recent heat reaching 38.1°C at Kew Gardens, yet short-range forecasts show modest cooling potential from variable insolation and advection patterns. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders weigh these near-term variables heavily against climatological August averages near 21–23°C, underscoring forecast uncertainty just 24 hours out.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in London on August 15?
Highest temperature in London on August 15?
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C 16%
28°C 10%
নতুন
$15,783 Vol.
নতুন
$15,783 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
16%
26°C
34%
27°C
31%
28°C
10%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C 16%
28°C 10%
নতুন
$15,783 Vol.
নতুন
$15,783 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$769 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$437 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$973 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,272 Vol.
7%
25°C
$2,279 Vol.
16%
26°C
$2,088 Vol.
34%
27°C
$2,358 Vol.
31%
28°C
$1,240 Vol.
10%
29°C
$1,768 Vol.
5%
30°C or higher
$1,964 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tight clustering of implied probabilities around 26–27°C for London's August 15 maximum reflects ensemble model spread in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and possible afternoon cloud or light wind shifts under persistent high pressure. Official Met Office guidance points to a daytime peak near 28°C following recent heat reaching 38.1°C at Kew Gardens, yet short-range forecasts show modest cooling potential from variable insolation and advection patterns. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders weigh these near-term variables heavily against climatological August averages near 21–23°C, underscoring forecast uncertainty just 24 hours out.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ভলিউম
$15,783শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tight clustering of implied probabilities around 26–27°C for London's August 15 maximum reflects ensemble model spread in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and possible afternoon cloud or light wind shifts under persistent high pressure. Official Met Office guidance points to a daytime peak near 28°C following recent heat reaching 38.1°C at Kew Gardens, yet short-range forecasts show modest cooling potential from variable insolation and advection patterns. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders weigh these near-term variables heavily against climatological August averages near 21–23°C, underscoring forecast uncertainty just 24 hours out.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$15,783শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight clustering of implied probabilities around 26–27°C for London's August 15 maximum reflects ensemble model spread in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and possible afternoon cloud or light wind shifts under persistent high pressure. Official Met Office guidance points to a daytime peak near 28°C following recent heat reaching 38.1°C at Kew Gardens, yet short-range forecasts show modest cooling potential from variable insolation and advection patterns. With resolution hinging on official station readings, traders weigh these near-term variables heavily against climatological August averages near 21–23°C, underscoring forecast uncertainty just 24 hours out.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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