**Subtropical monsoon conditions and model consensus around 32–34°C are anchoring trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s August 17 maximum.** Long-term August averages place daytime highs near 32°C (historical range typically 31–33°C), and multiple forecasts—including timeanddate.com (93°F/34°C), Trip.com (32°C), and AccuWeather monthly outlooks (85–93°F)—converge on this narrow band under typical late-summer humidity and scattered thunderstorm activity. Thunderstorms and cloud cover act as natural caps on peak heating by limiting solar insolation, which explains why probabilities cluster on 32°C (25.5%) and 33°C (36.0%) while 34°C (21.0%) remains plausible if convection is delayed. Higher outcomes (35°C+) carry low odds because current guidance shows no heatwave or clear-sky setup, and lower thresholds (≤31°C) would require unusually persistent rain or stronger onshore flow. Updated model runs and official monitoring in the final 24–48 hours before the daily maximum will determine whether small shifts in timing or intensity move implied probabilities within this tight cluster.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
33°C 36%
32°C 24%
34°C 23%
31°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
24%
33°C
36%
34°C
23%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 36%
32°C 24%
34°C 23%
31°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
$6 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6 Vol.
1%
29°C
$158 Vol.
1%
30°C
$102 Vol.
2%
31°C
$139 Vol.
7%
32°C
$102 Vol.
24%
33°C
$250 Vol.
36%
34°C
$149 Vol.
23%
35°C
$234 Vol.
6%
36°C
$569 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$244 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical monsoon conditions and model consensus around 32–34°C are anchoring trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s August 17 maximum.** Long-term August averages place daytime highs near 32°C (historical range typically 31–33°C), and multiple forecasts—including timeanddate.com (93°F/34°C), Trip.com (32°C), and AccuWeather monthly outlooks (85–93°F)—converge on this narrow band under typical late-summer humidity and scattered thunderstorm activity.
Thunderstorms and cloud cover act as natural caps on peak heating by limiting solar insolation, which explains why probabilities cluster on 32°C (25.5%) and 33°C (36.0%) while 34°C (21.0%) remains plausible if convection is delayed. Higher outcomes (35°C+) carry low odds because current guidance shows no heatwave or clear-sky setup, and lower thresholds (≤31°C) would require unusually persistent rain or stronger onshore flow. Updated model runs and official monitoring in the final 24–48 hours before the daily maximum will determine whether small shifts in timing or intensity move implied probabilities within this tight cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,959শেষ তারিখ
Aug 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical monsoon conditions and model consensus around 32–34°C are anchoring trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s August 17 maximum.** Long-term August averages place daytime highs near 32°C (historical range typically 31–33°C), and multiple forecasts—including timeanddate.com (93°F/34°C), Trip.com (32°C), and AccuWeather monthly outlooks (85–93°F)—converge on this narrow band under typical late-summer humidity and scattered thunderstorm activity.
Thunderstorms and cloud cover act as natural caps on peak heating by limiting solar insolation, which explains why probabilities cluster on 32°C (25.5%) and 33°C (36.0%) while 34°C (21.0%) remains plausible if convection is delayed. Higher outcomes (35°C+) carry low odds because current guidance shows no heatwave or clear-sky setup, and lower thresholds (≤31°C) would require unusually persistent rain or stronger onshore flow. Updated model runs and official monitoring in the final 24–48 hours before the daily maximum will determine whether small shifts in timing or intensity move implied probabilities within this tight cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,959শেষ তারিখ
Aug 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Subtropical monsoon conditions and model consensus around 32–34°C are anchoring trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s August 17 maximum.** Long-term August averages place daytime highs near 32°C (historical range typically 31–33°C), and multiple forecasts—including timeanddate.com (93°F/34°C), Trip.com (32°C), and AccuWeather monthly outlooks (85–93°F)—converge on this narrow band under typical late-summer humidity and scattered thunderstorm activity. Thunderstorms and cloud cover act as natural caps on peak heating by limiting solar insolation, which explains why probabilities cluster on 32°C (25.5%) and 33°C (36.0%) while 34°C (21.0%) remains plausible if convection is delayed. Higher outcomes (35°C+) carry low odds because current guidance shows no heatwave or clear-sky setup, and lower thresholds (≤31°C) would require unusually persistent rain or stronger onshore flow. Updated model runs and official monitoring in the final 24–48 hours before the daily maximum will determine whether small shifts in timing or intensity move implied probabilities within this tight cluster.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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