Official forecasts from AEMET and supporting numerical models including ECMWF runs indicate a maximum of 36°C for Madrid on August 17 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and continued high pressure that supports strong diurnal heating. Recent observations from the prior heatwave period, with peaks near 37–38°C on August 13–14 at the Barajas airport station, combined with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions expected tomorrow, underpin trader emphasis on 37°C as the leading outcome. Minor model spread around boundary-layer temperatures and exact wind speeds creates the secondary probability on 38°C, while the 36°C bucket reflects the core consensus. Updated short-range guidance and the final official reading will determine resolution ahead of any late-day adjustments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 17?
37°C 57%
38°C 21%
36°C 18%
39°C 4%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
18%
37°C
57%
38°C
21%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 57%
38°C 21%
36°C 18%
39°C 4%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
18%
37°C
57%
38°C
21%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from AEMET and supporting numerical models including ECMWF runs indicate a maximum of 36°C for Madrid on August 17 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and continued high pressure that supports strong diurnal heating. Recent observations from the prior heatwave period, with peaks near 37–38°C on August 13–14 at the Barajas airport station, combined with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions expected tomorrow, underpin trader emphasis on 37°C as the leading outcome. Minor model spread around boundary-layer temperatures and exact wind speeds creates the secondary probability on 38°C, while the 36°C bucket reflects the core consensus. Updated short-range guidance and the final official reading will determine resolution ahead of any late-day adjustments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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