Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Tokyo's August 18 maximum near the seasonal August average of roughly 31°C, with minor day-to-day adjustments from cloud cover, showers, and urban heat retention driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C. Above-normal summer temperatures expected by the Japan Meteorological Agency reflect a strengthened Pacific high, yet short-range uncertainty in timing of any convective activity or wind shifts keeps adjacent outcomes competitive. Historical data show daily maxima frequently vary 2–3°C under similar synoptic patterns, underscoring why traders assign comparable implied probabilities across this narrow band while discounting extremes. Updated model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance through the 17th will further refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 18?
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 15%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
15%
30°C
25%
31°C
35%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 21%
29°C 15%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$686 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9 Vol.
1%
28°C
$38 Vol.
7%
29°C
$52 Vol.
15%
30°C
$31 Vol.
25%
31°C
$24 Vol.
35%
32°C
$12 Vol.
21%
33°C
$24 Vol.
6%
34°C
$45 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$35 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Tokyo's August 18 maximum near the seasonal August average of roughly 31°C, with minor day-to-day adjustments from cloud cover, showers, and urban heat retention driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C. Above-normal summer temperatures expected by the Japan Meteorological Agency reflect a strengthened Pacific high, yet short-range uncertainty in timing of any convective activity or wind shifts keeps adjacent outcomes competitive. Historical data show daily maxima frequently vary 2–3°C under similar synoptic patterns, underscoring why traders assign comparable implied probabilities across this narrow band while discounting extremes. Updated model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance through the 17th will further refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$969শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Tokyo's August 18 maximum near the seasonal August average of roughly 31°C, with minor day-to-day adjustments from cloud cover, showers, and urban heat retention driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C. Above-normal summer temperatures expected by the Japan Meteorological Agency reflect a strengthened Pacific high, yet short-range uncertainty in timing of any convective activity or wind shifts keeps adjacent outcomes competitive. Historical data show daily maxima frequently vary 2–3°C under similar synoptic patterns, underscoring why traders assign comparable implied probabilities across this narrow band while discounting extremes. Updated model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance through the 17th will further refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$969শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Tokyo's August 18 maximum near the seasonal August average of roughly 31°C, with minor day-to-day adjustments from cloud cover, showers, and urban heat retention driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C. Above-normal summer temperatures expected by the Japan Meteorological Agency reflect a strengthened Pacific high, yet short-range uncertainty in timing of any convective activity or wind shifts keeps adjacent outcomes competitive. Historical data show daily maxima frequently vary 2–3°C under similar synoptic patterns, underscoring why traders assign comparable implied probabilities across this narrow band while discounting extremes. Updated model runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance through the 17th will further refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা