**Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to Miami International Airport highs in the low 90s on August 21, 2026, explaining why the 92–93°F bin leads with 47.5% implied probability and 94–95°F follows at 31.0%.** After a record-tying 100°F reading on August 18 amid a strong heat wave with minimal cloud cover and light winds, conditions are moderating. Typical mid-August maxima average near 89–90°F, but persistent warmth and high humidity keep values elevated. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorm development—common in South Florida’s tropical moisture regime—should cap extreme heating while still allowing peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Higher bins (96°F+) carry low single-digit odds because steering patterns and moisture limit further intensification, while sub-90°F outcomes remain unlikely given the warm boundary-layer air mass. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and official NWS point forecasts heavily, as these directly inform the resolution criteria at the primary Miami station.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Miami on August 21?
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 31%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 6%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
48%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 31%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 6%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
48%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to Miami International Airport highs in the low 90s on August 21, 2026, explaining why the 92–93°F bin leads with 47.5% implied probability and 94–95°F follows at 31.0%.** After a record-tying 100°F reading on August 18 amid a strong heat wave with minimal cloud cover and light winds, conditions are moderating. Typical mid-August maxima average near 89–90°F, but persistent warmth and high humidity keep values elevated. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorm development—common in South Florida’s tropical moisture regime—should cap extreme heating while still allowing peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Higher bins (96°F+) carry low single-digit odds because steering patterns and moisture limit further intensification, while sub-90°F outcomes remain unlikely given the warm boundary-layer air mass. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and official NWS point forecasts heavily, as these directly inform the resolution criteria at the primary Miami station.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা