Recent European model consensus and official forecasts from agencies like Météo-France point to a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Paris on August 20 under predominantly cloudy skies with light showers or drizzle possible, suppressing peak heating compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (41.5% implied probability) and 24°C (30.5%), as current guidance shows modest southwesterly flow and temperatures near seasonal norms without significant warm advection. The lower odds for 26°C or higher reflect limited potential for afternoon clearing or stronger insolation. Final resolution will depend on the day's official observations, with any last-minute model shifts in cloud cover or timing likely to influence trader adjustments ahead of the close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Paris on August 20?
25°C 42%
24°C 31%
26°C 14%
23°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
31%
25°C
42%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
24°C 31%
26°C 14%
23°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
31%
25°C
42%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus and official forecasts from agencies like Météo-France point to a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Paris on August 20 under predominantly cloudy skies with light showers or drizzle possible, suppressing peak heating compared to clearer conditions. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (41.5% implied probability) and 24°C (30.5%), as current guidance shows modest southwesterly flow and temperatures near seasonal norms without significant warm advection. The lower odds for 26°C or higher reflect limited potential for afternoon clearing or stronger insolation. Final resolution will depend on the day's official observations, with any last-minute model shifts in cloud cover or timing likely to influence trader adjustments ahead of the close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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