Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a mostly sunny ridge over southern Germany on August 19, supporting daily maxima clustered around 27–28°C in Munich, which aligns with the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted 850 hPa temperatures, boundary-layer mixing, and afternoon cloud development create the narrow spread separating 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C scenarios, while weaker signals for stronger warm advection keep probabilities for 29°C or higher modest. Historical mid-August baselines near 23–25°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor the upper end of the normal range with limited model disagreement at this short lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and DWD guidance ahead of the 19th will refine the precise peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Munich on August 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 19?
27°C 28%
28°C 26%
26°C 19%
29°C 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
28%
28°C
26%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 28%
28°C 26%
26°C 19%
29°C 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
$90 Vol.
2%
25°C
$6 Vol.
5%
26°C
$105 Vol.
19%
27°C
$289 Vol.
28%
28°C
$38 Vol.
26%
29°C
$361 Vol.
12%
30°C
$299 Vol.
5%
31°C
$5 Vol.
3%
32°C
$19 Vol.
1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a mostly sunny ridge over southern Germany on August 19, supporting daily maxima clustered around 27–28°C in Munich, which aligns with the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted 850 hPa temperatures, boundary-layer mixing, and afternoon cloud development create the narrow spread separating 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C scenarios, while weaker signals for stronger warm advection keep probabilities for 29°C or higher modest. Historical mid-August baselines near 23–25°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor the upper end of the normal range with limited model disagreement at this short lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and DWD guidance ahead of the 19th will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,158শেষ তারিখ
Aug 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a mostly sunny ridge over southern Germany on August 19, supporting daily maxima clustered around 27–28°C in Munich, which aligns with the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted 850 hPa temperatures, boundary-layer mixing, and afternoon cloud development create the narrow spread separating 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C scenarios, while weaker signals for stronger warm advection keep probabilities for 29°C or higher modest. Historical mid-August baselines near 23–25°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor the upper end of the normal range with limited model disagreement at this short lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and DWD guidance ahead of the 19th will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,158শেষ তারিখ
Aug 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a mostly sunny ridge over southern Germany on August 19, supporting daily maxima clustered around 27–28°C in Munich, which aligns with the near-even market odds between those outcomes. Subtle differences in predicted 850 hPa temperatures, boundary-layer mixing, and afternoon cloud development create the narrow spread separating 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C scenarios, while weaker signals for stronger warm advection keep probabilities for 29°C or higher modest. Historical mid-August baselines near 23–25°C provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor the upper end of the normal range with limited model disagreement at this short lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and DWD guidance ahead of the 19th will refine the precise peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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