Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Met Office place Moscow’s August 22 daytime maximum near 22–24°C, aligning with late-summer climatology of roughly 22°C average highs and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation, light southerly or westerly flow influencing advection, and limited boundary-layer mixing that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat island effect. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in these parameters, with any increase in showers or thicker cloud decks likely capping the high near 22°C while clearer conditions could push it to 24°C. Updated short-range model runs and Roshydromet observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 22?
23°C 39%
24°C 31%
22°C 27%
21°C 9%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
39%
24°C
31%
25°C
5%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
9%
23°C 39%
24°C 31%
22°C 27%
21°C 9%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
39%
24°C
31%
25°C
5%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate, BBC Weather, and Met Office place Moscow’s August 22 daytime maximum near 22–24°C, aligning with late-summer climatology of roughly 22°C average highs and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22–24°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation, light southerly or westerly flow influencing advection, and limited boundary-layer mixing that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat island effect. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in these parameters, with any increase in showers or thicker cloud decks likely capping the high near 22°C while clearer conditions could push it to 24°C. Updated short-range model runs and Roshydromet observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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