Trader consensus in the Chicago daily high temperature market centers on 84–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, driven by the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance showing a modest warming trend amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent morning cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period have suppressed readings below the 83.5°F climatological normal for August 7, but recent model runs indicate clearing conditions could allow afternoon temperatures to reach the mid-80s at official stations like Midway or O’Hare. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect and any residual moisture keep extreme outliers (below 80°F or above 90°F) at very low implied probabilities, consistent with ensemble spread and historical variability for early-August setups.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chicago on August 7?
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 30%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 7%
$10,214 Vol.
$10,214 Vol.
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 30%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 7%
$10,214 Vol.
$10,214 Vol.
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Chicago daily high temperature market centers on 84–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, driven by the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance showing a modest warming trend amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent morning cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period have suppressed readings below the 83.5°F climatological normal for August 7, but recent model runs indicate clearing conditions could allow afternoon temperatures to reach the mid-80s at official stations like Midway or O’Hare. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect and any residual moisture keep extreme outliers (below 80°F or above 90°F) at very low implied probabilities, consistent with ensemble spread and historical variability for early-August setups.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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