Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble models project a daily maximum of 32–34°C for August 7 under mainly fine, very hot subtropical summer conditions featuring weak steering winds, moderate humidity, and scattered showers that may cap peaks through cloud cover and localized cooling. These factors, combined with typical late-summer sea surface temperatures and no strong ridge or typhoon influence, underpin trader consensus favoring 34°C at 56.5% implied probability, followed by 35°C and 33°C. Updated HKO model runs and evening observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of official verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
34°C 55%
35°C 29%
33°C 14%
36°C 2%
$70,193 Vol.
$70,193 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
14%
34°C
55%
35°C
29%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 55%
35°C 29%
33°C 14%
36°C 2%
$70,193 Vol.
$70,193 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
14%
34°C
55%
35°C
29%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and ensemble models project a daily maximum of 32–34°C for August 7 under mainly fine, very hot subtropical summer conditions featuring weak steering winds, moderate humidity, and scattered showers that may cap peaks through cloud cover and localized cooling. These factors, combined with typical late-summer sea surface temperatures and no strong ridge or typhoon influence, underpin trader consensus favoring 34°C at 56.5% implied probability, followed by 35°C and 33°C. Updated HKO model runs and evening observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of official verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা