Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and climatological data anchor trader consensus at 27°C for the August 7, 2026 minimum, reflecting typical summer overnight lows of 26–28°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, warm sea-surface temperatures, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Model runs align closely with historical August baselines for the territory, where radiative cooling is modest under humid conditions and urban heat-island effects. Near-certain market-implied odds above 99% indicate traders view deviation as improbable absent an anomalous cold surge or instrumentation outlier. Updated HKO observations or post-event verification could still refine the exact bucket, though current guidance shows minimal spread in ensemble projections.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
27°C 99.8%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,789 Vol.
$57,789 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,789 Vol.
$57,789 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
$537 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$607 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,334 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,786 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,360 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$16,394 Vol.
100%
28°C
$12,737 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,889 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,618 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$737 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and climatological data anchor trader consensus at 27°C for the August 7, 2026 minimum, reflecting typical summer overnight lows of 26–28°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, warm sea-surface temperatures, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Model runs align closely with historical August baselines for the territory, where radiative cooling is modest under humid conditions and urban heat-island effects. Near-certain market-implied odds above 99% indicate traders view deviation as improbable absent an anomalous cold surge or instrumentation outlier. Updated HKO observations or post-event verification could still refine the exact bucket, though current guidance shows minimal spread in ensemble projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$57,789শেষ তারিখ
Aug 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and climatological data anchor trader consensus at 27°C for the August 7, 2026 minimum, reflecting typical summer overnight lows of 26–28°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, warm sea-surface temperatures, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Model runs align closely with historical August baselines for the territory, where radiative cooling is modest under humid conditions and urban heat-island effects. Near-certain market-implied odds above 99% indicate traders view deviation as improbable absent an anomalous cold surge or instrumentation outlier. Updated HKO observations or post-event verification could still refine the exact bucket, though current guidance shows minimal spread in ensemble projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$57,789শেষ তারিখ
Aug 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and climatological data anchor trader consensus at 27°C for the August 7, 2026 minimum, reflecting typical summer overnight lows of 26–28°C driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, warm sea-surface temperatures, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Model runs align closely with historical August baselines for the territory, where radiative cooling is modest under humid conditions and urban heat-island effects. Near-certain market-implied odds above 99% indicate traders view deviation as improbable absent an anomalous cold surge or instrumentation outlier. Updated HKO observations or post-event verification could still refine the exact bucket, though current guidance shows minimal spread in ensemble projections.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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