Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 27°C in Istanbul on August 9, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 28°C. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions, moderated by the Sea of Marmara and prevailing northerly flows, typically cap highs near the 27–29°C climatological range, with limited potential for stronger warming absent a pronounced ridge or warm advection. Model runs show minimal spread and no heatwave signals, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 9?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 9?
27°C 55%
28°C 28%
26°C 18%
25°C 1.5%
নতুন
$15,226 Vol.
নতুন
$15,226 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
18%
27°C
55%
28°C
28%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 55%
28°C 28%
26°C 18%
25°C 1.5%
নতুন
$15,226 Vol.
নতুন
$15,226 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
23°C or below
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$696 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,510 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,648 Vol.
18%
27°C
$4,732 Vol.
55%
28°C
$1,532 Vol.
28%
29°C
$1,431 Vol.
1%
30°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$486 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,148 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 27°C in Istanbul on August 9, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 28°C. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions, moderated by the Sea of Marmara and prevailing northerly flows, typically cap highs near the 27–29°C climatological range, with limited potential for stronger warming absent a pronounced ridge or warm advection. Model runs show minimal spread and no heatwave signals, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$15,226শেষ তারিখ
Aug 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 27°C in Istanbul on August 9, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 28°C. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions, moderated by the Sea of Marmara and prevailing northerly flows, typically cap highs near the 27–29°C climatological range, with limited potential for stronger warming absent a pronounced ridge or warm advection. Model runs show minimal spread and no heatwave signals, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$15,226শেষ তারিখ
Aug 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 27°C in Istanbul on August 9, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome and 28% for 28°C. Late-summer Mediterranean conditions, moderated by the Sea of Marmara and prevailing northerly flows, typically cap highs near the 27–29°C climatological range, with limited potential for stronger warming absent a pronounced ridge or warm advection. Model runs show minimal spread and no heatwave signals, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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