**Trader consensus centers on a 24°C overnight low for Tokyo on August 10, 2026, reflecting typical peak-summer conditions and the latest official guidance.** Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and climatological normals place Tokyo’s August minimum temperatures around 24–25°C, with the agency’s daily normal at 23.8°C. Recent model runs show persistent high pressure and above-normal warmth across the region, keeping nighttime readings elevated despite cloudy skies expected that day. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity (often exceeding 70–80%) further limit radiative cooling, making sub-23°C readings uncommon without a strong frontal passage or typhoon influence—neither of which is indicated in current guidance. AccuWeather’s extended outlook similarly projects overnight lows of 23–26°C through mid-August. With resolution only 48 hours away and no major forecast shifts reported, market-implied probabilities align closely with these authoritative sources, assigning the highest weight to the 24°C outcome while leaving modest room for minor cooling if cloud cover thickens or winds increase overnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
23°C 23%
25°C 16%
22°C 10%
26°C 7%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
23%
24°C
47%
25°C
16%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 23%
25°C 16%
22°C 10%
26°C 7%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
23%
24°C
47%
25°C
16%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 24°C overnight low for Tokyo on August 10, 2026, reflecting typical peak-summer conditions and the latest official guidance.** Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and climatological normals place Tokyo’s August minimum temperatures around 24–25°C, with the agency’s daily normal at 23.8°C. Recent model runs show persistent high pressure and above-normal warmth across the region, keeping nighttime readings elevated despite cloudy skies expected that day. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity (often exceeding 70–80%) further limit radiative cooling, making sub-23°C readings uncommon without a strong frontal passage or typhoon influence—neither of which is indicated in current guidance. AccuWeather’s extended outlook similarly projects overnight lows of 23–26°C through mid-August. With resolution only 48 hours away and no major forecast shifts reported, market-implied probabilities align closely with these authoritative sources, assigning the highest weight to the 24°C outcome while leaving modest room for minor cooling if cloud cover thickens or winds increase overnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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