Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 9 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of rain later, supporting overnight lows near 23–25°C amid typical late-summer humidity and the urban heat island effect in Tokyo. These conditions align with climatological baselines where minimum temperatures average around 24–25°C, though model runs show some spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing. Trader consensus reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 26°C and 29% for 25°C incorporates this near-term guidance, with lower odds on 24°C or below reflecting limited cooling potential absent stronger frontal systems. Updated model outputs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to influence resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 9?
26°C 42%
25°C 30%
27°C 4%
24°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
30%
26°C
42%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 30%
27°C 4%
24°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
30%
26°C
42%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 9 indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a chance of rain later, supporting overnight lows near 23–25°C amid typical late-summer humidity and the urban heat island effect in Tokyo. These conditions align with climatological baselines where minimum temperatures average around 24–25°C, though model runs show some spread due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing. Trader consensus reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 26°C and 29% for 25°C incorporates this near-term guidance, with lower odds on 24°C or below reflecting limited cooling potential absent stronger frontal systems. Updated model outputs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to influence resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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