Forecast consensus from global models positions 22–23°C as the leading outcomes for Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 9, with market-implied probabilities reflecting tight agreement on light southerly flow, broken cloud cover, and minimal diurnal heating. Current runs show daytime highs stabilizing near the long-term August average of 22–24°C, without the warm advection or clear-sky amplification needed for 24°C+ or the stronger northerly surge required for sub-22°C readings. Recent model updates have narrowed uncertainty by confirming modest moisture and no significant frontal passages through the period, keeping trader focus on this narrow band while acknowledging typical late-summer variability in steering patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 9?
22°C 51%
23°C 37%
21°C 13%
24°C 3%
$14,034 Vol.
$14,034 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
13%
22°C
51%
23°C
37%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 51%
23°C 37%
21°C 13%
24°C 3%
$14,034 Vol.
$14,034 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
13%
22°C
51%
23°C
37%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global models positions 22–23°C as the leading outcomes for Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 9, with market-implied probabilities reflecting tight agreement on light southerly flow, broken cloud cover, and minimal diurnal heating. Current runs show daytime highs stabilizing near the long-term August average of 22–24°C, without the warm advection or clear-sky amplification needed for 24°C+ or the stronger northerly surge required for sub-22°C readings. Recent model updates have narrowed uncertainty by confirming modest moisture and no significant frontal passages through the period, keeping trader focus on this narrow band while acknowledging typical late-summer variability in steering patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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