Official observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, reached exactly 12°C at primary stations, driving the market-implied 100% consensus on this outcome and rendering 20°C or higher impossible. This aligns with MGM's prior weekly forecast of temperatures falling 2–4°C below seasonal norms (typically 15–16°C highs) due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler continental air and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF model ensembles had hinted at low-teens maxima, but verified measurements solidified trader positioning. Scenarios challenging this would require unprecedented data revisions from MGM reanalysis, though post-validation protocols make such shifts negligible.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 15?
12°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
$120,752 Vol.
$120,752 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
$120,752 Vol.
$120,752 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
10°C or below
$4,994 Vol.
No
11°C
$7,284 Vol.
No
12°C
$12,585 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$4,752 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,924 Vol.
No
15°C
$10,982 Vol.
No
16°C
$33,383 Vol.
No
17°C
$26,373 Vol.
No
18°C
$12,612 Vol.
No
19°C
$905 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$2,958 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, reached exactly 12°C at primary stations, driving the market-implied 100% consensus on this outcome and rendering 20°C or higher impossible. This aligns with MGM's prior weekly forecast of temperatures falling 2–4°C below seasonal norms (typically 15–16°C highs) due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler continental air and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF model ensembles had hinted at low-teens maxima, but verified measurements solidified trader positioning. Scenarios challenging this would require unprecedented data revisions from MGM reanalysis, though post-validation protocols make such shifts negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
ভলিউম
$120,752শেষ তারিখ
Apr 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, reached exactly 12°C at primary stations, driving the market-implied 100% consensus on this outcome and rendering 20°C or higher impossible. This aligns with MGM's prior weekly forecast of temperatures falling 2–4°C below seasonal norms (typically 15–16°C highs) due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler continental air and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF model ensembles had hinted at low-teens maxima, but verified measurements solidified trader positioning. Scenarios challenging this would require unprecedented data revisions from MGM reanalysis, though post-validation protocols make such shifts negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$120,752শেষ তারিখ
Apr 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Official observational data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Istanbul's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, reached exactly 12°C at primary stations, driving the market-implied 100% consensus on this outcome and rendering 20°C or higher impossible. This aligns with MGM's prior weekly forecast of temperatures falling 2–4°C below seasonal norms (typically 15–16°C highs) due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler continental air and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF model ensembles had hinted at low-teens maxima, but verified measurements solidified trader positioning. Scenarios challenging this would require unprecedented data revisions from MGM reanalysis, though post-validation protocols make such shifts negligible.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা