Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service place Istanbul's July 11 daytime maximum near 27–29 °C under a moderately moist air mass with limited insolation from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 32.5 % implied probability, while the broad distribution across 26–30 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology centers near 29 °C, but short-term model updates through the next 48 hours remain the dominant driver of any repricing ahead of official station resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 11?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$41,898 Vol.
$41,898 Vol.
Jul 11, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$41,898 Vol.
$41,898 Vol.
Jul 11, 2026
22°C or below
$998 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,478 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,274 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,439 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,751 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,418 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,036 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$4,627 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,566 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,323 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$2,990 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service place Istanbul's July 11 daytime maximum near 27–29 °C under a moderately moist air mass with limited insolation from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 32.5 % implied probability, while the broad distribution across 26–30 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology centers near 29 °C, but short-term model updates through the next 48 hours remain the dominant driver of any repricing ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$41,898শেষ তারিখ
Jul 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service place Istanbul's July 11 daytime maximum near 27–29 °C under a moderately moist air mass with limited insolation from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 32.5 % implied probability, while the broad distribution across 26–30 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology centers near 29 °C, but short-term model updates through the next 48 hours remain the dominant driver of any repricing ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$41,898শেষ তারিখ
Jul 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service place Istanbul's July 11 daytime maximum near 27–29 °C under a moderately moist air mass with limited insolation from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 32.5 % implied probability, while the broad distribution across 26–30 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology centers near 29 °C, but short-term model updates through the next 48 hours remain the dominant driver of any repricing ahead of official station resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা