Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome and reflecting traders' consensus on verified meteorological data. This unusually cool reading, 6–8°C below May seasonal norms of around 20–22°C, stems from a Black Sea-sourced low-pressure system that triggered a rare early-May cold snap across northwest Turkey, with cloudy skies, gusty northerlies, and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating. Turkish State Meteorological Service reports align with these station measurements, showing highs in the 12–15°C range regionally. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-verification data corrections, such as sensor recalibrations, though official records rarely shift after initial reporting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 4?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 4?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$84,525 Vol.
$84,525 Vol.
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$84,525 Vol.
$84,525 Vol.
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
$5,076 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,406 Vol.
No
12°C
$4,454 Vol.
No
13°C
$11,238 Vol.
No
14°C
$10,170 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$32,613 Vol.
No
16°C
$7,914 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,976 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,405 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,193 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$2,081 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome and reflecting traders' consensus on verified meteorological data. This unusually cool reading, 6–8°C below May seasonal norms of around 20–22°C, stems from a Black Sea-sourced low-pressure system that triggered a rare early-May cold snap across northwest Turkey, with cloudy skies, gusty northerlies, and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating. Turkish State Meteorological Service reports align with these station measurements, showing highs in the 12–15°C range regionally. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-verification data corrections, such as sensor recalibrations, though official records rarely shift after initial reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$84,525শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome and reflecting traders' consensus on verified meteorological data. This unusually cool reading, 6–8°C below May seasonal norms of around 20–22°C, stems from a Black Sea-sourced low-pressure system that triggered a rare early-May cold snap across northwest Turkey, with cloudy skies, gusty northerlies, and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating. Turkish State Meteorological Service reports align with these station measurements, showing highs in the 12–15°C range regionally. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-verification data corrections, such as sensor recalibrations, though official records rarely shift after initial reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$84,525শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 4 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome and reflecting traders' consensus on verified meteorological data. This unusually cool reading, 6–8°C below May seasonal norms of around 20–22°C, stems from a Black Sea-sourced low-pressure system that triggered a rare early-May cold snap across northwest Turkey, with cloudy skies, gusty northerlies, and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating. Turkish State Meteorological Service reports align with these station measurements, showing highs in the 12–15°C range regionally. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post-verification data corrections, such as sensor recalibrations, though official records rarely shift after initial reporting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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