Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, reported via METAR at midday on May 1, confirm the highest temperature reached 34°C, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This peak aligns with NiMet's 2026 seasonal climate prediction of warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria in May, amid lingering dry-season heat before the rainy onset, where historical May highs at DNMM average 30-32°C but urban heat island effects in densely built Lagos often elevate readings. Model forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF had anticipated highs near 33°C, with low humidity amplifying heat index values. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions by NiMet if sensor discrepancies emerge across synoptic stations, though verified aviation data provides strong evidential support. Final NiMet daily bulletin expected soon for market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Lagos on May 1?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 1?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$36,982 Vol.
$36,982 Vol.
May 1, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$36,982 Vol.
$36,982 Vol.
May 1, 2026
28°C or below
$15,274 Vol.
No
29°C
$959 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,390 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,293 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,091 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,697 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,788 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$3,225 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,482 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,785 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,996 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, reported via METAR at midday on May 1, confirm the highest temperature reached 34°C, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This peak aligns with NiMet's 2026 seasonal climate prediction of warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria in May, amid lingering dry-season heat before the rainy onset, where historical May highs at DNMM average 30-32°C but urban heat island effects in densely built Lagos often elevate readings. Model forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF had anticipated highs near 33°C, with low humidity amplifying heat index values. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions by NiMet if sensor discrepancies emerge across synoptic stations, though verified aviation data provides strong evidential support. Final NiMet daily bulletin expected soon for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ভলিউম
$36,982শেষ তারিখ
May 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, reported via METAR at midday on May 1, confirm the highest temperature reached 34°C, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This peak aligns with NiMet's 2026 seasonal climate prediction of warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria in May, amid lingering dry-season heat before the rainy onset, where historical May highs at DNMM average 30-32°C but urban heat island effects in densely built Lagos often elevate readings. Model forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF had anticipated highs near 33°C, with low humidity amplifying heat index values. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions by NiMet if sensor discrepancies emerge across synoptic stations, though verified aviation data provides strong evidential support. Final NiMet daily bulletin expected soon for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$36,982শেষ তারিখ
May 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, reported via METAR at midday on May 1, confirm the highest temperature reached 34°C, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This peak aligns with NiMet's 2026 seasonal climate prediction of warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria in May, amid lingering dry-season heat before the rainy onset, where historical May highs at DNMM average 30-32°C but urban heat island effects in densely built Lagos often elevate readings. Model forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF had anticipated highs near 33°C, with low humidity amplifying heat index values. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions by NiMet if sensor discrepancies emerge across synoptic stations, though verified aviation data provides strong evidential support. Final NiMet daily bulletin expected soon for market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা