Active monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall, represent the dominant driver behind current market-implied odds favoring a 31°C peak on August 27. India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical models indicate generally overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, which limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling amid high humidity and easterly flow. Recent days have already seen maxima suppressed to 31–34°C following earlier 34–35°C readings under clearer conditions. These factors cluster trader consensus tightly around 30–32°C, consistent with typical August monsoon climatology where precipitation reliably caps afternoon highs below dry-season potential. Updated IMD forecasts and model consensus runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key inputs for resolution probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
31°C 39%
32°C 28%
30°C 20%
29°C 19%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
39%
32°C
28%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 28%
30°C 20%
29°C 19%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
39%
32°C
28%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall, represent the dominant driver behind current market-implied odds favoring a 31°C peak on August 27. India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical models indicate generally overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, which limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling amid high humidity and easterly flow. Recent days have already seen maxima suppressed to 31–34°C following earlier 34–35°C readings under clearer conditions. These factors cluster trader consensus tightly around 30–32°C, consistent with typical August monsoon climatology where precipitation reliably caps afternoon highs below dry-season potential. Updated IMD forecasts and model consensus runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key inputs for resolution probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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