Current numerical weather prediction models from Spain’s AEMET and the ECMWF ensemble indicate a most probable daily maximum temperature of 34–36°C for Madrid on July 17, aligning directly with the market’s highest implied probabilities on those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure dominance and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Iberian interior sustain this range, consistent with July climatology and the ongoing seasonal warming trend documented by AEMET. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited model disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any weak Atlantic trough that could modestly suppress peaks. Updated short-range guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on July 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 17?
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$94,516 Vol.
$94,516 Vol.
Jul 17, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$94,516 Vol.
$94,516 Vol.
Jul 17, 2026
30°C or below
$1,952 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,583 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,614 Vol.
No
33°C
$10,189 Vol.
No
34°C
$25,201 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$22,043 Vol.
No
36°C
$13,195 Vol.
No
37°C
$6,133 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,751 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,518 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$1,338 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from Spain’s AEMET and the ECMWF ensemble indicate a most probable daily maximum temperature of 34–36°C for Madrid on July 17, aligning directly with the market’s highest implied probabilities on those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure dominance and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Iberian interior sustain this range, consistent with July climatology and the ongoing seasonal warming trend documented by AEMET. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited model disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any weak Atlantic trough that could modestly suppress peaks. Updated short-range guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$94,516শেষ তারিখ
Jul 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from Spain’s AEMET and the ECMWF ensemble indicate a most probable daily maximum temperature of 34–36°C for Madrid on July 17, aligning directly with the market’s highest implied probabilities on those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure dominance and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Iberian interior sustain this range, consistent with July climatology and the ongoing seasonal warming trend documented by AEMET. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited model disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any weak Atlantic trough that could modestly suppress peaks. Updated short-range guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$94,516শেষ তারিখ
Jul 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Current numerical weather prediction models from Spain’s AEMET and the ECMWF ensemble indicate a most probable daily maximum temperature of 34–36°C for Madrid on July 17, aligning directly with the market’s highest implied probabilities on those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure dominance and above-average 850 hPa temperatures across the Iberian interior sustain this range, consistent with July climatology and the ongoing seasonal warming trend documented by AEMET. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited model disagreement on steering patterns or timing of any weak Atlantic trough that could modestly suppress peaks. Updated short-range guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা