Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Manila's highest temperature reaching exactly 36°C on May 2, 2026, driven by official PAGASA observations at the resolution source—Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) in Pasay City—which recorded a maximum of 36.2°C around mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the agency's regional forecast range of 25–36°C for Metro Manila amid ongoing dry season conditions influenced by weak easterlies and lingering El Niño effects boosting above-average heat. Intraday data from nearby stations like Science Garden in Quezon City topped at 35.3°C, reinforcing the NAIA peak without exceeding it. With the day concluded and no revisions expected, scenarios challenging this—like measurement recalibrations or overlooked late-day spikes—are highly improbable given PAGASA's verified methodology.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Manila on May 2?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 2?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,435 Vol.
$41,435 Vol.
May 2, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,435 Vol.
$41,435 Vol.
May 2, 2026
30°C or below
$4,720 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,783 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,867 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,474 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,839 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,936 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,727 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$3,790 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,577 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,909 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$3,813 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Manila's highest temperature reaching exactly 36°C on May 2, 2026, driven by official PAGASA observations at the resolution source—Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) in Pasay City—which recorded a maximum of 36.2°C around mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the agency's regional forecast range of 25–36°C for Metro Manila amid ongoing dry season conditions influenced by weak easterlies and lingering El Niño effects boosting above-average heat. Intraday data from nearby stations like Science Garden in Quezon City topped at 35.3°C, reinforcing the NAIA peak without exceeding it. With the day concluded and no revisions expected, scenarios challenging this—like measurement recalibrations or overlooked late-day spikes—are highly improbable given PAGASA's verified methodology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
ভলিউম
$41,435শেষ তারিখ
May 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 12:53 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Manila's highest temperature reaching exactly 36°C on May 2, 2026, driven by official PAGASA observations at the resolution source—Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) in Pasay City—which recorded a maximum of 36.2°C around mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the agency's regional forecast range of 25–36°C for Metro Manila amid ongoing dry season conditions influenced by weak easterlies and lingering El Niño effects boosting above-average heat. Intraday data from nearby stations like Science Garden in Quezon City topped at 35.3°C, reinforcing the NAIA peak without exceeding it. With the day concluded and no revisions expected, scenarios challenging this—like measurement recalibrations or overlooked late-day spikes—are highly improbable given PAGASA's verified methodology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$41,435শেষ তারিখ
May 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 12:53 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Manila's highest temperature reaching exactly 36°C on May 2, 2026, driven by official PAGASA observations at the resolution source—Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) in Pasay City—which recorded a maximum of 36.2°C around mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the agency's regional forecast range of 25–36°C for Metro Manila amid ongoing dry season conditions influenced by weak easterlies and lingering El Niño effects boosting above-average heat. Intraday data from nearby stations like Science Garden in Quezon City topped at 35.3°C, reinforcing the NAIA peak without exceeding it. With the day concluded and no revisions expected, scenarios challenging this—like measurement recalibrations or overlooked late-day spikes—are highly improbable given PAGASA's verified methodology.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা