PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Manila on May 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 5?
35°C 100%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,545 Vol.
$38,545 Vol.
May 5, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,545 Vol.
$38,545 Vol.
May 5, 2026
29°C or below
$982 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,106 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,207 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,154 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,471 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,755 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,631 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$3,662 Vol.
No
37°C
$8,619 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,085 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,875 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
ভলিউম
$38,545শেষ তারিখ
May 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$38,545শেষ তারিখ
May 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা