Recent forecasts for Manila on September 3, 2026, point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80–95% chance of thunderstorms, persistent cloud cover, and southwest winds of 15–20 mph moderating insolation. These conditions—typical of the June–October wet season—reduce daytime heating compared to drier months, while high humidity (80–90%) and urban heat island effects in Metro Manila create slight upward bias. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies emphasizes heavy rainfall suppressing peaks below historical September averages around 30–31°C. Trader consensus favoring 31°C (46.5%) over lower outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rain timing and potential brief clear spells allowing brief warming. New observational data or updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Manila on September 3?
31°C 47%
32°C 21%
30°C 17%
29°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
17%
31°C
47%
32°C
21%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 21%
30°C 17%
29°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
17%
31°C
47%
32°C
21%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila on September 3, 2026, point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80–95% chance of thunderstorms, persistent cloud cover, and southwest winds of 15–20 mph moderating insolation. These conditions—typical of the June–October wet season—reduce daytime heating compared to drier months, while high humidity (80–90%) and urban heat island effects in Metro Manila create slight upward bias. Model consensus from sources like GFS and local agencies emphasizes heavy rainfall suppressing peaks below historical September averages around 30–31°C. Trader consensus favoring 31°C (46.5%) over lower outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rain timing and potential brief clear spells allowing brief warming. New observational data or updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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