Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Mexico City’s August 26 high reflects numerical weather model agreement placing the most likely maximum near the long-term August average of roughly 24°C at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent rainy-season patterns, with frequent afternoon cloud buildup and convection, have moderated daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping observed highs clustered in this narrow band. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island strength, all of which introduce uncertainty that traders weigh against historical variability of ±2–3°C. Updated model runs and observational data expected later on the 25th will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
25°C 42%
24°C 35%
26°C 13%
23°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
35%
25°C
42%
26°C
13%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 42%
24°C 35%
26°C 13%
23°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
35%
25°C
42%
26°C
13%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Mexico City’s August 26 high reflects numerical weather model agreement placing the most likely maximum near the long-term August average of roughly 24°C at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Recent rainy-season patterns, with frequent afternoon cloud buildup and convection, have moderated daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping observed highs clustered in this narrow band. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud-cover timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island strength, all of which introduce uncertainty that traders weigh against historical variability of ±2–3°C. Updated model runs and observational data expected later on the 25th will likely refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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