Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on July 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 10?
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$249,403 Vol.
$249,403 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$249,403 Vol.
$249,403 Vol.
Jul 10, 2026
79°F or below
$53,451 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$15,584 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$45,206 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$28,708 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$18,847 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$28,435 Vol.
Yes
90-91°F
$29,804 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$17,331 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$9,560 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$1,571 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$906 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ভলিউম
$249,403শেষ তারিখ
Jul 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$249,403শেষ তারিখ
Jul 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus around 88–91°F for NYC’s July 10 high reflects National Weather Service and private model guidance pointing to a warm, humid summer day with afternoon temperatures peaking near or slightly above the seasonal average of 85°F. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with steering flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, while variable cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day convection introduce the main uncertainty between the tightly bunched 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins. Above-normal July warmth across the Northeast, driven by persistent ridging, underpins the modest probability mass above 92°F, yet the narrow distribution of outcomes highlights how small shifts in insolation or urban heat-island effects can decide the precise daily maximum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা