Trader consensus reflects closely matched forecasts for Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 3, with 30°C and 31°C holding nearly equal implied probabilities amid ensemble spread in numerical weather models. Late-summer conditions over eastern China, featuring moderate humidity, light steering winds, and residual monsoon influence, keep daytime maxima near these thresholds at official stations. Urban heat-island effects and possible afternoon convection introduce variability that differentiates outcomes, while historical early-September climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
31°C 42%
30°C 42%
29°C 9%
32°C 4%
$16,957 Vol.
$16,957 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
42%
31°C
42%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 42%
30°C 42%
29°C 9%
32°C 4%
$16,957 Vol.
$16,957 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
42%
31°C
42%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects closely matched forecasts for Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 3, with 30°C and 31°C holding nearly equal implied probabilities amid ensemble spread in numerical weather models. Late-summer conditions over eastern China, featuring moderate humidity, light steering winds, and residual monsoon influence, keep daytime maxima near these thresholds at official stations. Urban heat-island effects and possible afternoon convection introduce variability that differentiates outcomes, while historical early-September climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা