Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
29°C 100%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$63,301 Vol.
$63,301 Vol.
May 2, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$63,301 Vol.
$63,301 Vol.
May 2, 2026
22°C or below
$1,775 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,671 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,278 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,144 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,606 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,757 Vol.
No
28°C
$17,729 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,085 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$6,992 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,799 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$5,466 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
ভলিউম
$63,301শেষ তারিখ
May 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$63,301শেষ তারিখ
May 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 29°C high temperature in Shenzhen on May 2, backed by real-time observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport and short-range forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration. Cloudy skies with intermittent showers and southeast sea breezes at force 2-3 limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping peaks consistent with yesterday's 27°C high amid lingering post-rain humidity above 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on this outcome, reflecting early May climatology where average highs hover near 29°C. Realistic challenges—such as unexpected afternoon clearing boosting urban heat island effects to 30°C—grow improbable as the day ends, with final airport data set to confirm resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা