Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C at 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—showing a peak of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and scattered showers that have limited daytime solar heating. Current hourly readings from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF confirm temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C in the late afternoon, well below May climatological averages of 29°C due to a recent influx of moist southerly air. While a dramatic clearing before sunset (around 6:50 PM local time) could enable brief convective warming to 27°C, the low solar angle and overcast conditions render this scenario highly improbable, solidifying the market's positioning. Final airport data releases by midnight will confirm resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 6?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$73,420 Vol.
$73,420 Vol.
May 6, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$73,420 Vol.
$73,420 Vol.
May 6, 2026
22°C or below
$856 Vol.
No
23°C
$476 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,021 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,521 Vol.
No
26°C
$24,842 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$10,805 Vol.
No
28°C
$18,846 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,326 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,236 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,427 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,064 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C at 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—showing a peak of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and scattered showers that have limited daytime solar heating. Current hourly readings from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF confirm temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C in the late afternoon, well below May climatological averages of 29°C due to a recent influx of moist southerly air. While a dramatic clearing before sunset (around 6:50 PM local time) could enable brief convective warming to 27°C, the low solar angle and overcast conditions render this scenario highly improbable, solidifying the market's positioning. Final airport data releases by midnight will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$73,420শেষ তারিখ
May 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C at 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—showing a peak of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and scattered showers that have limited daytime solar heating. Current hourly readings from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF confirm temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C in the late afternoon, well below May climatological averages of 29°C due to a recent influx of moist southerly air. While a dramatic clearing before sunset (around 6:50 PM local time) could enable brief convective warming to 27°C, the low solar angle and overcast conditions render this scenario highly improbable, solidifying the market's positioning. Final airport data releases by midnight will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$73,420শেষ তারিখ
May 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C at 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—showing a peak of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and scattered showers that have limited daytime solar heating. Current hourly readings from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF confirm temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C in the late afternoon, well below May climatological averages of 29°C due to a recent influx of moist southerly air. While a dramatic clearing before sunset (around 6:50 PM local time) could enable brief convective warming to 27°C, the low solar angle and overcast conditions render this scenario highly improbable, solidifying the market's positioning. Final airport data releases by midnight will confirm resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা